PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actual
July 31 56%-7.0%Líder entre 17 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,3 M €
Liquidez
315,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
5.5% / 6.0%
Spread
9.1%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-17.8%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
Tendencias
0%
0%
Resultado elegido
July 3156%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
- A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:
- Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.
- Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.