PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualDecember 31 68%Líder entre 17 opciones
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
3,8 M €
Liquidez
2 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
4.0% / 4.2%
Spread
5.0%
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
-9.4%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
8 abr 26, 16:2331 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
December 3168%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran.
- Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
- A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- - The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.