PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
August 31 100%+2.9ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
612,8 €
Liquidez
15,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+57.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 días
Desactualizado24 feb 26, 20:0831 may 26, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
May 310%
July 314%
March 310%
April 300%
August 31100%
September 30100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Stinky, Donetsk Oblast, (48.578829902717374° N, 37.73960567273168° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.