Probabilidad implícita actual
$7.000+ 56.6%-5.0ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
761,4 €
Baja liquidezSpread
19.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
3
Cambio 7d
+4.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
3 abr 26, 15:13 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Trump suspension of Tariffs on ground beef be fully implemented and last the announce 90 day time period
Manifold MarketsHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketFed decision in December?
Manifold MarketsHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release.
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart.
- If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
- The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para $7.000+ es del 53%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 6 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm $7.000+ 53% · 2 plataformas · 6 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 5,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 resultados más
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will ground beef hit __ in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza $7.000+ al 57% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will ground beef hit __ in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will ground beef hit __ in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will ground beef hit __ in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Limitless.