PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 56%-4.0pt
Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
311,6 €
Liquidez
1,5 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
55.0% / 58.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
1
Cambio 7d
+2.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
13 ene 26, 23:09 UTC3 nov 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWhat % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
- A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate.