KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 58%+2.0pt
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
115,5 €
Liquidez
141,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
59.0% / 61.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
13 ene 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?
KalshiWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketReglas
If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution.
- If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins.
- For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold.
- For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors.
- Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races??
- Kalshi cotiza Yes al 58% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races??
- Está previsto que Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.