Which Senate races will be within 5 points?
5.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección1m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Iowa · —
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Precio guardado
Iowa 73.5%Líder entre 12 opciones
Iowa 73.5%Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
627,6 €
Interés abierto
18,2 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
IowaSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
29 sept 26, 0:48 UTC18 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Iowa
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which Senate races will be within 1 point?
KalshiWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWill Democrats sweep the New England House and Senate races?
KalshiWill Republicans sweep the Great Plains Senate races?
KalshiHow many Senate races will be won by less than 1%?
PredictItWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketReglas
If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Texas Secretary of State, Elections DivisionAlaska Division of ElectionsMaine Secretary of State, Division of ElectionsIowa Secretary of State, Elections DivisionSouth Carolina Election CommissionKansas Secretary of State, Elections DivisionNebraska Secretary of StateMichigan Department of StateOhio Secretary of StateFlorida Department of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of Elections
- The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place finisher's vote share, measured in percentage points. Zero indicates a tie. Certified official results are used, subject to the contract's Fully-Conducted Elections and accelerated-resolution provisions. For ranked-choice voting, the vote shares in the last round actually conducted are used.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Iowa
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Michigan
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Texas
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kansas
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ohio (special)
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alaska
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Alaska falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nebraska
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Nebraska falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Maine
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- South Carolina
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in South Carolina falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Hampshire
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Florida (special)
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- North Carolina
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in North Carolina falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.