KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 73%
Calidad del mercado
65 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,3 €
Liquidez
30,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
27.0% / 29.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
13 ene 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If Democrats win the governorships of ALL of the following states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution.
- If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins.
- For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold.
- For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors.
- Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 73% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races??
- Está previsto que Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Democrats win the governorships of ALL of the following states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.