PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Texas 83%+3.5ptLíder entre 18 opciones
Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,2 mil €
Liquidez
164,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+3.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
29 jul 26, 18:41 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which Senate races will be within 1%?
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Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
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Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiReglas
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.