PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 86%+1.0pt
Calidad del mercado
63 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
275,6 €
Liquidez
20,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
14.0% / 15.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
5
Cambio 7d
-1.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado26 feb 26, 0:341 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US x Cuba military clash in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US x Cuba military clash in 2026??
- Está previsto que US x Cuba military clash in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US x Cuba military clash in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.