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  • Inicio
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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Geopolítica
  3. US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

7.0% (24h)One-OffGeopolítica6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 45%-0.1%
Calidad del mercado

91 / 100

Alta calidad
Volumen 24h

2,6 mil €

Liquidez

23,8 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

44.0% / 45.0%

Spread

2.3%

Spread estrecho
Cambio 7d

+3.0%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

26 feb 26, 0:3631 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes45%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,593.15-2.98%EthereumETH$1,694.22-3.21%SolanaSOL$68.52-4.75%DogecoinDOGE$0.0825-3.12%XRPXRP$1.13-4.54%BNBBNB$573.41-3.11%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.