PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualNo 96%+0.0pt
Calidad del mercado
54 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
26,4 €
Liquidez
3,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
1.5% / 5.6%
Spread
4.1 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 minutos
24 jul 26, 16:0031 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes4%
Tendencia de volumen
$3024 jul5d de datos28 jul
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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
938,9 €4.0%: 28%POLYMARKET
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Warsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
223 €June 30, 2027: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
219,8 €Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
111,7 €Sí: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will DC come under federal control in 2026?
0 €Sí: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
0 €Sí: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Warsh must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g. “I am planning to fire Warsh”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Kevin Warsh resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Warsh from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.