PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 99%+1.1pt
Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
284 €
Liquidez
7,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
1.0% / 1.4%
Spread
0.4 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-5.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
24 jul 26, 16:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by which date?
PolymarketTrump tries to serve a third term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiTrump publicly insults Warsh by which date?
PolymarketKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Warsh must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g. “I am planning to fire Warsh”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Kevin Warsh resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Warsh from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercados abiertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 94,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.9%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt46%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.3%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,8 mil €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt53.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt42.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volumen total
- 61,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 21,6 mil €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase65.4%
- No change29.8%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 99% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026??
- Está previsto que Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.