PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
36.5–36.9 73.3%Líder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
36.5–36.9 73.3%Calidad del mercado
37 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
867,8 €
Liquidez
817,1 €
Baja liquidezSpread
6.9 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
2 oct 26, 22:10 UTC10 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/2-10/9)
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on October 9, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Oct 9, 2026? · 37.6 to 37.8 50%