Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 77.3%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado28 mar 26, 4:17 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if Donald Trump's approval rating drops below 35% at any point during 2026, as measured by either:
- FiveThirtyEight (538) presidential approval tracker, OR
- RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average
- Resolution criteria:
- Either tracker showing below 35.0% on any single day counts
- Must be the headline approval number (not disapproval)