Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70.8%
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado28 mar 26, 4:17 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
LimitlessUK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if Donald Trump's approval rating drops below 35% at any point during 2026, as measured by either:
- FiveThirtyEight (538) presidential approval tracker, OR
- RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval average
- Resolution criteria:
- Either tracker showing below 35.0% on any single day counts
- Must be the headline approval number (not disapproval)
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 71% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if Donald Trump's approval rating drops below 35% at any point during 2026, as measured by either: