PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
37.5–37.9 43.1%+26.0ptLíder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
37.5–37.9 43.1%+26.0ptCalidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 32 minutos
29 sept 26, 0:22 UTC2 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% or lower before Dec 1st 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2)
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2?
PredictItUK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on October 2, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? · 38.5 to 38.7 38%