Aviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivoDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
December 31 14%
Calidad del mercado
17 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
8,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado13 ene 26, 19:241 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 180,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 resultados más
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December 31 al 14% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by which date??
- Está previsto que Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by which date? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).