Probabilidad implícita actual
Neutrality initiative 5%-0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
69 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1 mil €
Liquidez
53,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
4.2% / 5.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
14 jul 26, 0:04 UTC27 sept 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
PolymarketWill Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?
PolymarketWill Nauru’s name-change referendum pass?
KalshiWill Switzerland join NATO before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Switzerland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItReglas
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026:
- - Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (the named outcome)’ - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (the named outcome)’
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
- If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.