KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 91%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.0% / 8.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
21 may 26, 21:00 UTC1 ene 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Country in what region will merge, split, or name change first?
Manifold MarketsSwitzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?
PolymarketSwitzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
PolymarketWill Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?
PolymarketWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItAlberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Nauru Electoral Commission
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option must achieve the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met.
- Failure to meet turnout requirements results in No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 691,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass??
- Está previsto que Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.