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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Will Nauru be renamed to Naoero?
Will Nauru be renamed to Naoero?

Will Nauru be renamed to Naoero?

YearlyPolíticaGeopolítica1a
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 72%
Calidad del mercado

40 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

30,9 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

70.0% / 75.0%

Spread

7.1%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

21 may 26, 21:001 ene 28, 15:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes72%

Reglas

If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,937.16+2.67%SolanaSOL$65.54+3.14%EthereumETH$1,658.30+2.02%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.76%HyperliquidHYPE$55.80-0.24%XRPXRP$1.12+0.84%

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Reglas

If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.