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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Economía
  3. Social Security Insolvent by...?
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

25.5% (24h)EconomíaOne-OffUS Politics2a
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
2028
2028 28%-21.5%
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

87 €

Liquidez

3,2 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

5.0% / 17.0%

Spread

240.0%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 7 minutos

10 jun 26, 2:421 ene 29, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

202828%

Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated.
  • A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
  • A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
  • The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Japan recession in 2026?

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0 €
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Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

5,1 €
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US recession by end of 2026?

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,607.97+1.74%EthereumETH$1,652.06+1.37%SolanaSOL$65.07+0.84%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.02%XRPXRP$1.12-0.29%BNBBNB$595.28+1.26%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated.
  • A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
  • A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
  • The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.