PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
4 29.5%+1.5ptLíder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,7 €
Liquidez
5,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+12.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
26 ago 26, 22:12 UTC30 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
ChatGPT Outage by which date?
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days during the specified month (ET) on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage'.
- ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on a given day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once all qualifying day’s status boxes are finalized.
- (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance").
- Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered.
- Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volumen total
- 224,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
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- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de # of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza 4 al 29% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve # of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026??
- Está previsto que # of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026? se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida # of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to the number of calendar days during the specified month (ET) on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage'.