Probabilidad implícita actual
September 18 87%+40.5ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
37 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
921,5 €
Liquidez
1 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
4 sept 26, 0:18 UTC18 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
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Manifold MarketsGeneration Starship By 2150
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
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+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
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- 9,1 M €
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- Grok2.8%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza September 18 al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by which date??
- Está previsto que Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by which date? se resuelva el 18 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).