PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
September 28 72.8%Líder entre 23 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
September 28 72.8%Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
19,5 mil €
Liquidez
34,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
16.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 30 minutos
24 sept 26, 7:31 UTC16 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
On or prior to September 24Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next Claude Sonnet released by which date?
PolymarketClaude Sonnet 5 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 5.5 by October 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill a new Claude Sonnet model be released in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsClaude Sonnet 4.6 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.
- Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet.
- Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants.
- Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
