PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 97%-0.5ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
61 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,3 mil €
Liquidez
5,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+20.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
1 jul 26, 22:48 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet.
- Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants.
- Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Next Claude Sonnet released by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December 31 al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Next Claude Sonnet released by which date??
- Está previsto que Next Claude Sonnet released by which date? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Next Claude Sonnet released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).