PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
New Zealand First Party 53.3%-5.5ptLíder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
71 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
41 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
1
Cambio 7d
+4.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
29 abr 26, 23:59 UTC7 nov 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name.
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
- Polymarket cotiza New Zealand First Party al 53% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
- Está previsto que New Zealand Election: 3rd Place se resuelva el 7 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.