Probabilidad implícita actual
One Nation 71%+1.0ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
61 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
15,9 €
Liquidez
52,9 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
20 ago 26, 9:36 UTC28 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition.
- Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
- Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
Politics
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- Volumen 24h
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
- Polymarket cotiza One Nation al 71% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
- Está previsto que Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place se resuelva el 28 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.