Probabilidad implícita actual
Labor 76.5%-11.5ptLíder entre 4 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
271,1 €
Liquidez
9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-6.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
20 ago 26, 9:36 UTC28 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
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KalshiReglas
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition.
- Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
- Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
Mercados abiertos
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
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- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket cotiza Labor al 77% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Está previsto que Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place se resuelva el 28 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.