KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Likud 39.8%Líder entre 21 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
7,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
28 ago 26, 22:00 UTC27 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
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If the named outcome finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Central Elections Committee
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order.
- Rank is based on Knesset seats, not national vote share, using the Central Elections Committee's final certified result rather than preliminary counts.
- A party or list awarded no seats cannot place 2nd.
- Joint candidate lists count as single entities.
- Their seats are not credited separately to constituent parties.
Mercados abiertos
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
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- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 411,2 mil €
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- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Kalshi cotiza Likud al 40% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Está previsto que Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place se resuelva el 27 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.