KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
PSOE · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
PSOE 83.5%Líder entre 3 opciones
PSOE 83.5%Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
140,4 €
Interés abierto
812 €
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
PSOESpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
5 oct 26, 21:00 UTC29 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · PSOE
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Junta Electoral Central
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of Congress of Deputies seats in the Junta Electoral Central's final, certified general scrutiny (escrutinio general) resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by national vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published on election night Only the election to the Congress of Deputies counts. Senate seats do NOT count Seats won by a party's regional federation or joint list that runs under its name count toward that party (for example, seats won by the Socialists' Party of Catalonia, PSC-PSOE, count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.
Reglas de cada resultado
- PSOE
- If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party
- If the People's Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vox
- If Vox finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Spanish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
