KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
The Democrats · —
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Precio guardado
The Democrats 33%Líder entre 14 opciones
The Democrats 33%Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
20 mil €
Interés abierto
11,4 mil €
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
The DemocratsSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
13 oct 26, 18:00 UTC27 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · The Democrats
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If The Democrats finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Central Elections Committee
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. Rank is based on Knesset seats, not national vote share, using the Central Elections Committee's final certified result rather than preliminary counts. A party or list awarded no seats cannot place 4th. Lists with equal seat totals share the places they jointly occupy. For example, if two lists tie for the 3rd-most seats, both are tied for 3rd and 4th place; if two lists tie for the most seats, the list with the next-most seats finishes 3rd. Joint candidate lists count as single entities. Their seats are not credited separately to constituent parties. A newly formed joint list is a separate entity; a name change alone does not change a party or list's identity. Seats of separate lists are not combined for surplus-vote agreements or post-election coalitions. If no listed party or list finishes or ties for 4th place, every market on this event resolves NO. In case of an exact tie for 4th place among multiple parties as certified by the election authority, the markets shall resolve to $1/(number of tied entities) rounded down. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
Reglas de cada resultado
- The Democrats
- If The Democrats finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Shas
- If Shas finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Together
- If Together finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yisrael Beiteinu
- If Yisrael Beiteinu finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otzma Yehudit
- If Otzma Yehudit finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)
- If Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- United Torah Judaism
- If United Torah Judaism finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Blue and White
- If Blue and White finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ra'am
- If Ra'am finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Religious Zionist Party–Zehut
- If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yashar
- If Yashar finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reservists–New Economic Party
- If Reservists–New Economic Party finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Likud
- If Likud finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People of Israel
- If People of Israel finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.