Probabilidad implícita actual
78-80% 36.3%Líder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
47,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+0.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
30 abr 26, 0:02 UTC7 nov 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
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- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de New Zealand Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket cotiza 78-80% al 36% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve New Zealand Election: Turnout?
- Está previsto que New Zealand Election: Turnout se resuelva el 7 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida New Zealand Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.