PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
November 30 86%+7.0ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,5 mil €
Liquidez
16,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
4 sept 26, 14:36 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3).
- Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercados abiertos
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- 1,2 M €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Meta's "Watermelon" model released by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza November 30 al 86% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Meta's "Watermelon" model released by which date??
- Está previsto que Meta's "Watermelon" model released by which date? se resuelva el 30 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Meta's "Watermelon" model released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3).