PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 100%+0.3ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
18,6 mil €
Liquidez
37,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
26
Cambio 7d
+5.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
12 dic 25, 18:29 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
100%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe.
- An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
- A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para December 31 es del 100%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 1 punto porcentual entre las plataformas más alejadas. Las plataformas no coinciden en qué resultado va por delante.
Referencia CoinRithm December 31 100% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December 31 al 100% a fecha de 11 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date??
- Está previsto que Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Limitless, Manifold Markets.