PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 88%-1.1pt
Calidad del mercado
26 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
8.3% / 16.6%
Spread
8.3 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+4.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado19 mar 26, 18:0531 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31??
- Está previsto que Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).