¿Donald Trump anunciará su salida como Presidente? (Excluyendo la muerte)
One-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.2m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Antes del 20 de enero de 2029 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Antes del 20 de enero de 2029 25.5%Líder entre 3 opciones
Antes del 20 de enero de 2029 25.5%Calidad del mercado
81 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
2,4 mil €
Interés abierto
3,1 M US$
Interés abierto altoCompra / Venta
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Antes del 20 de enero de 2029Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
8 nov 25, 15:00 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Antes del 20 de enero de 2029
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
If Donald Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBloomberg NewsNBC
- An announcement that the President will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. An acknowledgement by Donald Trump that they will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of a constitutionally or legally mandated term limit does not satisfy the Payout Criterion. If Donald Trump leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before January 20, 2029
- If Donald Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If Donald Trump leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If Donald Trump leaves office before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.