Before Nov 1, 2026
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 22 oct 2026, 13:48 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
No · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
No 87.5%
No 87.5%Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
294,8 €
Interés abierto
1,7 mil US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
NoSpread
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado19 oct 26, 15:50 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · No
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiNext leader out of power before 2027?
PolymarketReglas
La regla exacta de este resultado no está disponible.
Liquida mediante:Ministère de l'IntérieurPrésidence de la RépubliqueThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe Journal officiel de la République françaiseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A resignation offer counts only if its acceptance, or Laurent Nuñez's statement that he is leaving regardless, is announced before Nov 1, 2026; the Oct 18, 2026 offer that President Macron declined on Oct 19 does not count unless its acceptance is announced before then. A collective resignation of the government does not count while he continues to serve, including for current affairs. His departure counts once it is announced that he will not continue as Interior Minister, including a move to another ministry. A statement that he will stay until the government formed after the 2027 presidential election, including that he will not serve in that government, does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Reglas de cada resultado
- No
- La regla exacta de este resultado no está disponible.
- Yes
- La regla exacta de este resultado no está disponible.