KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Before Apr 1, 2027 49%Líder entre 7 opciones
Before Apr 1, 2027 49%Calidad del mercado
26 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
88,9 €
Interés abierto
134 US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
16 oct 26, 16:08 UTC1 abr 27, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Before Apr 1, 2027
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?
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KalshiDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiWill Scott Bessent leave the position of Secretary of Treasury by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho of Howard Lutnick and Scott Bessent will be fired first?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Scott BessentThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe Department of the Treasurythe White HouseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Being considered for or named to another position does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Scott Bessent will cease to be Secretary of the Treasury. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
