PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 9 sept 2026, 7:18 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
7-8% 45%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
26 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
523,3 €
Baja liquidezSpread
68.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
8 sept 26, 18:33 UTC27 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?
PolymarketIsrael Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?
PolymarketIsrael Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?
PolymarketWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsSweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
KalshiWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election.
- Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
- If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volumen total
- 847,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 668,8 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share??
- Polymarket cotiza 7-8% al 45% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share??
- Está previsto que Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share? se resuelva el 27 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.