KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
At least 2% · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
At least 2% 96.5%Líder entre 9 opciones
At least 2% 96.5%Calidad del mercado
36 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Interés abierto
58,4 €
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
At least 2%Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
28 sept 26, 23:30 UTC3 ene 27, 13:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · At least 2%
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Reglas
If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 4.5% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying third-party candidate is a candidate recorded by the relevant state election authority under the name of a political party other than the Democratic Party, the Republican Party, or a recognized state affiliate of either (including the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party and the North Dakota Democratic-Nonpartisan League Party). A minor party whose registered name contains the word "Independent" (for example, the Alaskan Independence Party) qualifies. Candidates recorded as Independent, Unaffiliated, Nonaffiliated, Nonpartisan, Undeclared, No Party, No Party Preference, No Party Affiliation, or under any other non-party or petition label do not qualify. A candidate who is also the Democratic or Republican nominee does not qualify. A candidate nominated only by one or more qualifying parties qualifies, and their votes across all such lines are combined. All U.S. Senate general elections held on November 3, 2026 are in scope, including special elections. Each qualifying candidate's figure is their share of all votes cast for that seat as certified by the relevant state election authority; in a ranked-choice contest, the first-round share is used. The market resolves on the single highest such certified share across all contests.
Reglas de cada resultado
- At least 2%
- If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 2% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4%
- If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 4% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4.5%
- If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 4.5% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5%
- If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 5% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6%
- If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 6% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8%
- If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 8% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 10%
- If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 10% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 12%
- If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 12% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 14%
- If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 14% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
