PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualDecember 31 79%-2.5%Líder entre 12 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
612,4 mil €
Liquidez
64,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
1.2% / 2.1%
Spread
75.0%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
December 3179%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between June 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region.
- Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted).