PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: 25-49
Resuelto: 25 ago 2026, 19:06
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
25-49 100%+7.5ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
6,1 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComments
0
Cambio 7d
+56.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado14 ago 26, 20:5023 ago 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
<2514%
25-49100%
50-743%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from August 17, 2026, through August 23, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.
