PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 54%+5.0ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
58 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
428,1 €
Liquidez
2 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-6.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
10 jul 26, 22:23 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5, or a model that is clearly recognized as xAI’s next flagship generation succeeding Grok 4.
- Models released under the Grok 4 generation, including Grok 4.6, Grok 4.7, or similar variants, will not qualify.
- Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will not count unless they are explicitly branded as Grok 5 or otherwise clearly announced by xAI as its next flagship Grok generation.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 75,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 61,5 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 61,1 mil €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 resultados más
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Grok 5 released by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December 31 al 54% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Grok 5 released by which date??
- Está previsto que Grok 5 released by which date? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Grok 5 released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).