Este mercado se resolvió: Farage 60–70%
Resuelto: 14 ago 2026, 11:48
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 14 ago 2026, 11:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Farage 60–70% 100%+62.5ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
78,6 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+64.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 días
Desactualizado8 jul 26, 15:2430 jun 27, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Farage 50–60%8%
Farage 60–70%100%
Farage 40–50%1%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
- This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
