PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 50.5%-1.0pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
140,3 €
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
2
Cambio 7d
+3.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
14 ene 26, 0:53 UTC5 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats have a seat count of 235 or more in the House - Democrats have a seat count of 51 or more in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
- The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 45%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 6 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 45% · 2 plataformas · 6 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 193,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Volumen total
- 29,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 506,4 mil €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 843,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 408 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Blue tsunami in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza Yes al 51% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Blue tsunami in 2026??
- Está previsto que Blue tsunami in 2026? se resuelva el 5 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Blue tsunami in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- ¿Dónde más está listado Blue tsunami in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.