Probabilidad implícita actual
CDU 52.5%-6.5pt
Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
611,3 €
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
51.0% / 54.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-18.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
20 ago 26, 18:16 UTC20 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “CDU” if CDU wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than AfD in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “AfD” if AfD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than CDU in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both CDU and AfD receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
- Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
