Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 54.2%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado11 feb 26, 11:11 UTC24 mar 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
Manifold MarketsMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?
PolymarketSaxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?
Manifold MarketsWill the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?
KalshiReglas
See https://manifold.markets/ADings/will-germanys-federal-constitutiona
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Germany's 2025 election votes are (fully or partially) recounted, will BSW reach 5% of votes??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 54% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Germany's 2025 election votes are (fully or partially) recounted, will BSW reach 5% of votes??
- Está previsto que If Germany's 2025 election votes are (fully or partially) recounted, will BSW reach 5% of votes? se resuelva el 24 de marzo de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Germany's 2025 election votes are (fully or partially) recounted, will BSW reach 5% of votes??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: See https://manifold.markets/ADings/will-germanys-federal-constitutiona