Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 22 jul 2026, 10:10 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Yes, full recount 6.6%-5.3%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 días
Desactualizado11 feb 26, 11:0924 mar 29, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes, full recount7%
Tendencia de volumen
$59721 jul2d de datos22 jul
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Sahra Wagenknecht's BSW party intends to call Germany's Federal Constinutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht) after the party very narrowly missed out on reaching the necessary 5% of votes in the last election to get seats in the federal parliament.
- What will be the outcome with regards to a recount?
- If the court rules that BSW gets parliament seats without a recount, or something similar, this still resolves "No".
- The question only refers to the court's ruling in terms of a recount.
- (So whether that recount ends up happening is also irrelevant)
- See this other market for the outcome of a recount if it ends up taking place: https://manifold.markets/ADings/if-germanys-2025-election-votes-are