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Datos del 26 oct 2026, 14:53 UTC · política pm-quality-4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado11 feb 26, 11:09 UTC24 mar 29, 23:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Germany's 2025 election votes are (fully or partially) recounted, will BSW reach 5% of votes?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Sahra Wagenknecht's BSW party intends to call Germany's Federal Constinutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht) after the party very narrowly missed out on reaching the necessary 5% of votes in the last election to get seats in the federal parliament.
- What will be the outcome with regards to a recount?
- If the court rules that BSW gets parliament seats without a recount, or something similar, this still resolves "No".
- The question only refers to the court's ruling in terms of a recount.
- (So whether that recount ends up happening is also irrelevant)
- See this other market for the outcome of a recount if it ends up taking place: https://manifold.markets/ADings/if-germanys-2025-election-votes-are