KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualNo 91%
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
0,9 €
Liquidez
15,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
8.2% / 9.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 24 minutos
12 feb 26, 15:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes9%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 91% | +82pt | 0,9 € | 15,2 mil € | hace 24 minutos | |
 PolymarketMás activa85% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 93% | +84pt | 26,4 € | 7,4 mil € | hace 4 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
7.0 pts5m
+0.1pt92.1%
-0.1pt7.9%
58 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total21,5 mil €
Volumen 24h26,4 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If any federal or state court finds that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For clarity, the following do not satisfy this judgment criterion: findings of procedural irregularities, administrative errors, statutory violations related to election administration procedures (e.g., ballot curing deadlines, signature matching standards, observer access), or violations of election law that do not involve intentional fraud or deliberate manipulation of votes.
- Individual criminal prosecutions or guilty pleas for isolated acts of voter fraud (e.g., a single individual casting an illegal ballot) do not satisfy this criterion, even if the conduct occurred in connection with the 2020 election.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$13 jul22d de datos28 jul
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If any federal or state court finds that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For clarity, the following do not satisfy this judgment criterion: findings of procedural irregularities, administrative errors, statutory violations related to election administration procedures (e.g., ballot curing deadlines, signature matching standards, observer access), or violations of election law that do not involve intentional fraud or deliberate manipulation of votes.
- Individual criminal prosecutions or guilty pleas for isolated acts of voter fraud (e.g., a single individual casting an illegal ballot) do not satisfy this criterion, even if the conduct occurred in connection with the 2020 election.