PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualDemocratic Party 84%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,5 mil €
Liquidez
38,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
13.0% / 15.0%
Spread
15.4%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-3.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
28 ene 26, 5:553 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democratic Party84%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic Party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 84% | 0pt | 1,5 mil € | 38,2 mil € | hace 5 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 88% | +4pt | 657,9 € | 3,6 mil € | hace 31 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
AZ-04 House winner?
3.0%1a
+3.0%15%
88%
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez media
Volumen total4,7 mil €
Volumen 24h657,9 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$1.7k10 jul2d de datos11 jul
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.