KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualRepublican party 15%+3.0%
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
657,9 €
Liquidez
3,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
12.0% / 15.0%
Spread
25.0%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
7 ene 26, 1:043 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Republican party15%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic Party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general60% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 84% | 0pt | 1,5 mil € | 30,5 mil € | hace 2 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Media | 88% | +4pt | 657,9 € | 3,6 mil € | hace 17 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
AZ-04 House Election Winner
3.5%3m
84%
-3.5%14%
0%
+5 resultados más
64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total17,4 mil €
Volumen 24h1,5 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$7513 jul2d de datos10 jul
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If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.