KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Amish Shah 74%Ajustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
10,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
71.0% / 73.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
1 jul 25, 14:003 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Reglas
If the House member sworn in for AZ-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsKALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 180,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 resultados más
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de AZ-01 House winner??
- Kalshi cotiza Amish Shah al 74% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve AZ-01 House winner??
- Está previsto que AZ-01 House winner? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida AZ-01 House winner??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the House member sworn in for AZ-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.