PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democratic Party 82.2%+4.0ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
14,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
82.0% / 83.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+4.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
16 dic 25, 16:454 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democratic Party83%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic Party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 83% | — | 2,2 mil € | 14,3 mil € | hace 10 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 83% | — | 8,5 € | 6,5 mil € | hace 10 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
AZ-06 House winner?
1.0 pts1a
79%
+1.0pt20.9%
50 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez media
Volumen total13,8 mil €
Volumen 24h8,5 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$2.5k2 jul16d de datos28 jul
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.